ISSN: 2277-405X
Development of a Computational Model for Predicting the Performance of Ceramic Waste-Based Concrete
Paper ID: IJATRD-2026-00038
DOI :
DOI: https://doi.org/10.67750/ijatrd.v3.i2.38Keywords:
Keywords:
Abstract:
Abstract
While the ability to use ceramic waste as a concrete aggregate and cement substitute provides a sustainable path to more carbon neutral concrete, the non-linear relationship between the performance of a concrete made from ceramic waste and the ceramic waste content makes the design of such concrete more complicated. This study proposes and tests a computational (machine-learning) tool to forecast the compressive strength of ceramic waste-based concrete based on mix-proportion and curing parameters, and then compares the performance of the model. A structured data set was compiled and pre-processed with a total of 8 input features: binder content, ceramic waste powder (CWP) replacement, water-binder ratio, fine and coarse aggregate, ceramic coarse-aggregate replacement, superplasticiser dosage, curing age. Five predictive models were trained and compared; multiple linear regression (MLR), support-vector regression (SVR), an artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The evaluation of models was done with an independent test set by R², RMSE, MAE and MAPE. The accuracy of XGBoost was also the best (test R² = 0.944, RMSE = 2.73 MPa, MAPE = 5.0%) compared to the baselines of the ANN, RF, SVR and MLR. Feature-importance and sensitivity analyses revealed that the water-binder ratio and the curing age are the primary drivers, whereas the replacement with CWP showed a clear optimum around 18%, with the strength predicted decreasing above this level, which can be explained by the pozzolanic-then-dilution behaviour of this variable experimentally reported. The validated model is able to reproduce experimental trends within ±10%, and serves as a fast and inexpensive screening tool for ceramic-waste mixtures and to assist in sustainable mix design, avoiding the need for comprehensive laboratory testing.
How to Cite
Singhai, A. (2026, September 29).
Development of a Computational Model for Predicting the Performance of Ceramic Waste-Based Concrete.
https://ijatrd.org/en/article/2026-00038
References:
References
[1] J. Ahmad, W. Alattyih, Y. M. Jebur, M. Alqurashi, and N. Garcia-Troncoso, “A review on ceramic waste-based concrete: A step toward sustainable concrete,” Rev. Adv. Mater. Sci., vol. 62, no. 1, 20230346, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1515/rams-2023-0346
[2] A comprehensive review on the performance of low-carbon ceramic waste powder as cement replacement material in concrete, Appl. Sci., vol. 15, no. 11, 6037, 2025. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15116037
[3] Effect of ceramic waste powder as a binder replacement on the properties of cement- and lime-based mortars, Constr. Build. Mater., 2023. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0950061823008589
[4] P. G. Asteris and V. G. Mokos, “Concrete compressive strength using artificial neural networks,” Neural Comput. Appl., vol. 32, pp. 11807–11826, 2020.
[5] H. Nguyen, T. Vu, T. P. Vo, and H.-T. Thai, “Efficient machine learning models for prediction of concrete strengths,” Constr. Build. Mater., vol. 266, 120950, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.conbuildmat.2020.120950
[6] H. Song, A. Ahmad, K. A. Ostrowski, and M. Dudek, “Analyzing the compressive strength of ceramic waste-based concrete using experiment and artificial neural network (ANN) approach,” Materials, vol. 14, no. 16, 4518, 2021. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma14164518
[7] J. Yang, P. Jiang, R.-U.-D. Nassar, S. A. Suhail, M. Sufian, and A. F. Deifalla, “Experimental investigation and AI prediction modelling of ceramic waste powder concrete – An approach towards sustainable construction,” J. Mater. Res. Technol., vol. 23, pp. 3676–3696, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmrt.2023.02.024
[8] Q. Chang, L. Liu, M. U. Farooqi, B. Thomas, and Y. O. Özkılıç, “Data-driven based estimation of waste-derived ceramic concrete from experimental results with its environmental assessment,” J. Mater. Res. Technol., vol. 24, pp. 6348–6368, 2023.
[9] S. Ray, M. Haque, M. M. Rahman, M. N. Sakib, and K. A. Rakib, “Experimental investigation and SVM-based prediction of compressive and splitting tensile strength of ceramic waste aggregate concrete,” J. King Saud Univ. – Eng. Sci., vol. 36, no. 2, pp. 112–121, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jksues.2021.08.010
[10] [S. Ray, M. M. Rahman, M. Haque, M. W. Hasan, and M. M. Alam, “Performance evaluation of SVM and GBM in predicting compressive and splitting tensile strength of concrete prepared with ceramic waste and nylon fiber,” J. King Saud Univ. – Eng. Sci., vol. 35, no. 2, pp. 92–100, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jksues.2021.02.009
[11] Computational optimization of ceramic waste-based concrete mixtures: A comprehensive analysis of machine learning techniques, Arch. Comput. Methods Eng., 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11831-025-10233-8
[12] Predictive modeling of mechanical behavior in waste ceramic concrete using machine learning techniques, Int. J. Basic Appl. Sci., 2025. https://www.sciencepubco.com/index.php/IJBAS/article/view/33307
[13] D. Feng, Z. Liu, X. Wang, Y. Chen, J. Chang, D. Wei, and Z. Jiang, “Machine learning-based compressive strength prediction for concrete: An adaptive boosting approach,” Constr. Build. Mater., vol. 230, 117000, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.conbuildmat.2019.117000
[14] R. Alyousef, R. Nassar, M. Khan, K. Arif, M. Fawad, A. M. Hassan, and N. A. Ghamry, “Forecasting the strength characteristics of concrete incorporating waste foundry sand using advance machine algorithms including deep learning,” Case Stud. Constr. Mater., vol. 19, e02459, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cscm.2023.e02459
[15] S. Elhishi, A. M. Elashry, and S. El-Metwally, “Unboxing machine learning models for concrete strength prediction using XAI,” Sci. Rep., vol. 13, 19892, 2023.
[16] N. Handel, M. Amrane, N. Mebirouk, and J. B. Aguiar, “Comparative performance of blast furnace slag, ceramic, and glass waste as supplementary cementitious additions in concrete: Experimental and machine learning analysis,” Iran. J. Sci. Technol. Trans. Civ. Eng., 2025.
[17] A. Kumar et al., “Compressive strength prediction of lightweight concrete: Machine learning models,” Sustainability, vol. 14, no. 4, 2404, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14042404
[18] A. A. Mahmoud, “Synergizing machine learning and experimental analysis to predict post-heating compressive strength in waste concrete,” Struct. Concr., 2025. https://doi.org/10.1002/suco.202400211
[19] Machine learning-driven optimization of compressive and tensile strength in concrete with GGBS, eggshell powder, and waste glass powder, Sci. Rep., 2025. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-24438-1
[20] Prediction of compressive strength of high-performance concrete based on multiple machine learning models, Front. Mater., 2025. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmats.2025.1698248
[21] Waste ceramic powder for sustainable concrete production as supplementary cementitious material, Front. Mater., 2024. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmats.2024.1450824
[22] Durability assessment of cement mortars with recycled ceramic powders, Materials, 2024. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12471904/
[23] A literature review on the effect of using ceramic waste as supplementary cementitious material in cement composites on workability and compressive strength, Mater. Today Proc., vol. 65, pp. 871–876, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matpr.2022.03.453
[24] A comprehensive review of sustainable concrete with ceramic waste: Performance, challenges and future directions, J. Hum. Earth Future, 2026. https://hefjournal.org/index.php/HEF/article/view/719